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- The oil price cap is significantly impacting Russias ability to use oil to finance its illegal war.
- 45% plunge in Russian Finance Ministry energy revenues.
- UK continues to monitor effectiveness of the cap alongside its Coalition partners amid expected market price fluctuations.
UK-backed price cap on Russian oil and oil products is successfully undermining Putins ability to fund his illegal war in Ukraine, according to official data collated six months on from implementation.
Russian government income declined by over 20% between January and March 2023 compared to a year ago. The Russian Ministry of Finance posted a 45% plunge in government energy revenues in the same period.
According to the International Energy Agencys Oil Market Report for July 2023, Russian oil export revenues were down by $1.5 billion month-on-month in June to $11.8 billion (down $9.9 billion year-on-year).
Independent research by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air has estimated that the price cap on crude oil is costing Russia around 160 million per day.
Treasury Lords Minister Baroness Penn said:
The oil price cap is succeeding in its dual objectives bearing down on Putins most lucrative source of revenues that could otherwise be used to fund his illegal war, while ensuring that vulnerable countries can continue to secure affordable oil.
The oil price cap forms a critical part of the largest and most severe package of sanctions ever imposed on a major economy. We will continue to keep the pressure on Russia alongside our international partners.
The G7 and Australia (G7+), who collectively constitute the Price Cap Coalition, agreed to cap the price of Russian seaborne oil and refined oil products in September 2022 as a way to undermine Putins ability to fund his illegal war in Ukraine through inflated global oil prices, while ensuring that third countries can continue to secure affordable oil. The crude oil price cap and high- and low-value refined oil price caps (collectively referred to as the G7+ oil price cap) were introduced on 5 December 2022 and 5 February 2023 respectively.
UK guidance has been periodically updated to assist market participants with implementation of, and compliance with, the cap, and OFSI will continue to engage collaboratively with industry partners to ensure as much clarity is provided as possible.
Recent routine fluctuations in oil prices have seen the average price of Urals rise above the G7+ cap level. For any above-cap trades, Russia will face significant headwinds in securing alternative service providers, with data from market intelligence provider Argus indicating that the cost to Russia of moving its product is considerable. This added burden on Russia will continue to contribute to depressed revenues.
The Price Cap Coalition continues to monitor the effectiveness of the price cap and is prepared to review and adjust the measure as appropriate to ensure that it continues to meet its twin goals.
The cap sits alongside an extensive range of measures the UK has taken against Russia. The UK has sanctioned over 1600 individuals and entities involved in Russias invasion and sanctioned over 20 billion of UK-Russia goods trade compared to 2021.
Further Information
- The price cap was legislated for in the The Russia (Sanctions) (EU Exit) (Amendment) (No. 16) Regulations 2022 laid on 3 November 2022. The crude oil price cap was introduced on 5th December 2022, with the high-value and low value refined oil products price caps following on 5th February 2023.
- The UK has banned the import of Russian oil and oil products into our markets. As such the oil price cap mechanism only applies to UK persons that transport or provide associated services that facilitate the transportation of Russian oil and oil products to and between third countries.
- Alongside this update OFSI is publishing updated compliance forms, and instructions for using them, for the maritime services ban and Oil Price Cap to assist industry in complying with their obligations and monitoring implementation (see Russian Oil